Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Hertl 56.8% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 63.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 80.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 64.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Rossi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rossi
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Rossi
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
57.0% (718)
-12.5%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
64.9% (188)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
44.2% (77)
-44.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Rossi shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Rossi
Hertl
Home
46.8% (385)
59.2% (463)
Away
42.6% (364)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Rossi
Hertl
P1
42.8%
56.3%
P2
43.9%
55.4%
P3
47.4%
60.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |