Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Rossi wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Hertl 55.4% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 52.1%
Defensive zone
Rossi 62.1%
Neutral zone
Rossi 55.1%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Rossi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rossi
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Rossi
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
54.1% (717)
-7.6%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
61.9% (210)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
58.1% (31)
-8.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Rossi shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Rossi
Hertl
Home
47.5% (520)
58.1% (492)
Away
46.0% (472)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Rossi
Hertl
P1
47.8%
57.1%
P2
44.2%
54.0%
P3
48.7%
56.6%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |