Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rossi wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Johnston 51.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 76.3%
Defensive zone
Rossi 56.5%
Neutral zone
Rossi 61.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Rossi
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Rossi
Johnston
Last 10: Rossi 3-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Rossi
Johnston
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
4
Rossi
Johnston
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Rossi
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
52.6% (696)
-6.1%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
52.3% (88)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
42.4% (125)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Rossi is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Rossi
Johnston
Home
47.5% (520)
52.8% (458)
Away
46.0% (472)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Rossi
Johnston
P1
47.8%
48.9%
P2
44.2%
52.3%
P3
48.7%
51.4%
OT
45.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | OT | 00:13 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |