Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Johnston 48.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 69.0%
Defensive zone
Rossi 61.7%
Neutral zone
Rossi 67.5%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Rossi
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Rossi
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
47.8% (623)
+5.0%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
50.8% (63)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
51.4% (35)
-14.4%
On power play, Johnston has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Rossi shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Rossi
Johnston
Home
50.0% (242)
47.6% (351)
Away
51.1% (221)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Rossi
Johnston
P1
54.9%
49.6%
P2
48.7%
47.3%
P3
47.9%
48.0%
OT
40.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |