Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rossi wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Johnston 49.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 69.3%
Defensive zone
Johnston 55.9%
Neutral zone
Rossi 59.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Rossi
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Rossi
Johnston
Last 10: Rossi 4-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Rossi
Johnston
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
4
Rossi
Johnston
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
4
Rossi
Johnston
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
49.3% (2,189)
-2.3%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
52.6% (173)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
44.7% (237)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Rossi shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,967).
Home / Away
Rossi
Johnston
Home
47.8% (1,207)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Rossi
Johnston
P1
47.3%
50.1%
P2
44.8%
48.3%
P3
48.3%
48.8%
OT
45.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
44.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 6, 2025 | OT | 00:13 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |