Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rossi wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.5% vs Johnston 49.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 69.6%
Defensive zone
Johnston 54.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 57.8%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Rossi
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Rossi
Johnston
Last 10: Rossi 4-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Rossi
Johnston
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
4
Rossi
Johnston
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
4
Rossi
Johnston
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (2,023)
49.3% (2,024)
-2.7%
Power Play
47.6% (185)
52.7% (165)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
44.6% (233)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Rossi is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (797).
Rossi shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Rossi
Johnston
Home
47.1% (1,122)
49.4% (1,211)
Away
45.6% (1,129)
48.7% (1,211)
By Period
Rossi
Johnston
P1
47.0%
49.7%
P2
44.5%
48.5%
P3
47.6%
48.9%
OT
47.8%
48.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.4%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 6, 2025 | OT | 00:13 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |