Marcus Johansson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansson wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 44.3% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-21.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 88.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 85.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 86.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 87.2%
12.8%
87.2%
Johansson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Johansson
O'Reilly
Last 6: Johansson 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
1
Johansson
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
0
Johansson
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Johansson
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (68)
58.6% (841)
-20.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
59.9% (207)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
58.1% (148)
-33.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Johansson is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Johansson shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Johansson
O'Reilly
Home
34.4% (32)
59.8% (594)
Away
39.6% (53)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Johansson
O'Reilly
P1
42.4%
61.7%
P2
29.6%
56.2%
P3
45.0%
59.5%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |