Marcus Johansson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 49.1% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-12.5%)
Offensive zone
Johansson 50.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 71.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 59.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Johansson
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (11)
55.4% (826)
-9.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.9% (221)
-24.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Johansson is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Johansson shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Johansson
O'Reilly
Home
25.0% (8)
55.8% (579)
Away
66.7% (6)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Johansson
O'Reilly
P1
83.3%
57.7%
P2
25.0%
54.8%
P3
0.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
100.0%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
42.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%