Marcus Johansson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +30.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 45.8% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-30.7%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 61.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 65.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 59.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Johansson
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
25.0% (16)
56.2% (983)
-31.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.5% (254)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.0% (102)
-52.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Johansson is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Johansson shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Johansson
O'Reilly
Home
21.4% (14)
56.2% (697)
Away
33.3% (6)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Johansson
O'Reilly
P1
22.2%
54.5%
P2
40.0%
55.5%
P3
16.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
66.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
25.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%