Marcus Johansson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Johansson wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 48.0% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-11.6%)
Offensive zone
Johansson 67.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 73.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Johansson
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (41)
56.1% (690)
-9.8%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
64.6% (96)
-39.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
45.9% (109)
+20.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Johansson is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Johansson shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Johansson
O'Reilly
Home
40.9% (22)
58.3% (408)
Away
46.7% (30)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Johansson
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
57.7%
P2
45.0%
54.8%
P3
30.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
30.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
44.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%