Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 47.5% vs Dowd 55.5% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 84.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 67.2%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 77.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Jankowski
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Jankowski
Dowd
Last 10: Jankowski 2-8 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Jankowski
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
6
Jankowski
Dowd
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (251)
58.2% (617)
-9.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
71.4% (7)
-42.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (65)
47.2% (144)
-7.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jankowski is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Jankowski shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Dowd
Home
50.0% (172)
58.4% (399)
Away
43.0% (151)
53.9% (369)
By Period
Jankowski
Dowd
P1
42.5%
59.0%
P2
49.1%
56.1%
P3
48.5%
54.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
46.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:13 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |