Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs Dowd 53.3% (-5.7%)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 62.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 65.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Jankowski
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
55.4% (771)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
45.5% (165)
-6.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Jankowski shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Dowd
Home
45.3% (64)
58.2% (462)
Away
49.6% (115)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Jankowski
Dowd
P1
53.7%
55.6%
P2
45.8%
50.5%
P3
43.4%
53.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%