Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs Dowd 48.3% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 87.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 91.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Jankowski
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
49.2% (778)
+0.1%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
58.3% (12)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
44.0% (234)
+17.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jankowski is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Jankowski shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Dowd
Home
54.2% (72)
46.3% (492)
Away
47.3% (91)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Jankowski
Dowd
P1
54.2%
49.1%
P2
42.4%
48.2%
P3
55.4%
46.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%