Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Dowd 49.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 92.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 62.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 71.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Jankowski
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Jankowski
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
51.7% (644)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
41.6% (221)
+15.9%
On power play, Jankowski has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Jankowski shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Dowd
Home
53.9% (310)
48.6% (451)
Away
54.6% (271)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Jankowski
Dowd
P1
54.6%
49.1%
P2
56.3%
47.3%
P3
51.9%
51.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |