Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 80.6%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 70.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 54.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Jankowski
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Jankowski
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Jankowski
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
0
Jankowski
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
52.4% (981)
-1.1%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
50.7% (304)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
36.4% (33)
+7.6%
On power play, Jankowski has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Jankowski shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Suzuki
Home
46.8% (188)
53.2% (645)
Away
53.5% (245)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Jankowski
Suzuki
P1
51.6%
48.9%
P2
49.3%
51.5%
P3
50.9%
54.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |