Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 50.6%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 66.2%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 51.6%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Jankowski
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Jankowski
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Jankowski
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
51.3% (904)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
49.8% (265)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
36.8% (57)
+20.7%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Jankowski shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Suzuki
Home
53.9% (310)
50.6% (603)
Away
54.6% (271)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Jankowski
Suzuki
P1
54.6%
52.3%
P2
56.3%
47.5%
P3
51.9%
51.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |