Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Thomas 52.7% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 80.3%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 67.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Jankowski
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jankowski
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Jankowski
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
53.6% (924)
+5.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
55.2% (181)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
44.0% (116)
-0.7%
On power play, Jankowski has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Thomas
Home
54.7% (128)
53.6% (606)
Away
56.3% (215)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Jankowski
Thomas
P1
54.5%
48.2%
P2
56.5%
55.3%
P3
56.2%
55.2%
Final 5 min
52.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |