Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs Thomas 52.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 53.8%
Defensive zone
Thomas 61.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 58.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Jankowski
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Jankowski
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Jankowski
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
53.2% (1,166)
-3.9%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
56.9% (262)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
48.4% (221)
+13.5%
On power play, Thomas has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Jankowski is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Jankowski shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Thomas
Home
54.2% (72)
51.6% (830)
Away
47.3% (91)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Jankowski
Thomas
P1
54.2%
52.7%
P2
42.4%
55.6%
P3
55.4%
50.6%
Final 5 min
56.5%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |