Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs Thomas 54.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 73.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 52.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 58.0%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Jankowski
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Jankowski
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
55.3% (990)
-4.0%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
54.2% (190)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
52.5% (158)
-8.5%
On power play, Jankowski has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Jankowski shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Thomas
Home
46.8% (188)
55.1% (690)
Away
53.5% (245)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Jankowski
Thomas
P1
51.6%
55.5%
P2
49.3%
56.4%
P3
50.9%
51.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |