Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 47.5% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 77.4%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 81.9%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 80.5%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Jankowski
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Jankowski
Kuraly
Last 5: Jankowski 0-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Jankowski
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Jankowski
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Jankowski
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (251)
58.4% (310)
-9.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
66.7% (6)
-38.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (65)
53.0% (83)
-13.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Jankowski is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Jankowski shoots left. Kuraly is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Kuraly
Home
50.0% (172)
57.1% (184)
Away
43.0% (151)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Jankowski
Kuraly
P1
42.5%
56.0%
P2
49.1%
56.6%
P3
48.5%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
46.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |