Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 73.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Jankowski
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jankowski
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Jankowski
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
49.4% (445)
-0.1%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
100.0% (3)
-62.5%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
41.9% (117)
+20.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Jankowski shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Kuraly
Home
54.2% (72)
49.2% (248)
Away
47.3% (91)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Jankowski
Kuraly
P1
54.2%
48.3%
P2
42.4%
44.7%
P3
55.4%
51.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |