Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 75.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 73.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Jankowski
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Jankowski
Kuraly
Last 10: Jankowski 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
0
Jankowski
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
4
Jankowski
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
51.8% (444)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
45.3% (150)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Jankowski shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Kuraly
Home
53.9% (310)
54.6% (304)
Away
54.6% (271)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Jankowski
Kuraly
P1
54.6%
55.2%
P2
56.3%
45.7%
P3
51.9%
49.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |