Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.3%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 68.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 52.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Jankowski
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
14
(25 meetings)
11
14
Jankowski
Kuraly
Last 10: Jankowski 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
5
1
Jankowski
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
9
Jankowski
Kuraly
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Jankowski
Kuraly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
51.5% (5,141)
+0.0%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
56.0% (100)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
44.2% (1,086)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Jankowski shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Kuraly
Home
51.9% (1,940)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Jankowski
Kuraly
P1
50.0%
51.1%
P2
51.2%
49.9%
P3
50.2%
50.0%
OT
20.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |