Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.5%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 59.8%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 52.6%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Jankowski
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Jankowski
Seguin
Last 10: Jankowski 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Jankowski
Seguin
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Jankowski
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
2
Jankowski
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
55.9% (810)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
49.3% (762)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Jankowski shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Seguin
Home
51.9% (1,940)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Jankowski
Seguin
P1
50.0%
52.8%
P2
51.2%
53.3%
P3
50.2%
54.7%
OT
20.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |