Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs Seguin 51.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 59.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 67.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 50.5%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Jankowski
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jankowski
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
54.8% (135)
-3.5%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
58.3% (24)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
26.7% (15)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Jankowski shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Seguin
Home
46.8% (188)
47.4% (95)
Away
53.5% (245)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Jankowski
Seguin
P1
51.6%
50.8%
P2
49.3%
57.1%
P3
50.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |