Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs Seguin 55.4% (-8.0%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 59.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 67.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.5%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Jankowski
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
56.5% (712)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
59.7% (67)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
44.9% (49)
-5.7%
On power play, Seguin has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Jankowski shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Seguin
Home
45.3% (64)
58.5% (402)
Away
49.6% (115)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Jankowski
Seguin
P1
53.7%
58.4%
P2
45.8%
54.7%
P3
43.4%
54.1%
Final 5 min
58.3%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%