Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 64.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Jankowski
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Jankowski
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Jankowski
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
56.9% (478)
-7.6%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
57.4% (54)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
51.3% (76)
+10.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jankowski is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Jankowski shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Seguin
Home
54.2% (72)
57.4% (317)
Away
47.3% (91)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Jankowski
Seguin
P1
54.2%
50.3%
P2
42.4%
60.4%
P3
55.4%
58.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |