Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 51.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 54.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Jankowski
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jankowski
Seguin
Last 7: Jankowski 5-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
2
Jankowski
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (701)
53.9% (996)
-1.3%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
56.4% (94)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (107)
52.1% (165)
-6.3%
On power play, Jankowski has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jankowski is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Jankowski shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Seguin
Home
56.6% (424)
55.9% (633)
Away
47.0% (396)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Jankowski
Seguin
P1
49.3%
55.8%
P2
57.4%
51.7%
P3
49.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |