Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Johnston 48.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 69.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 57.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 61.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Jankowski
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jankowski
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
47.8% (623)
+6.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.8% (63)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
51.4% (35)
+6.1%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Jankowski shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Johnston
Home
53.9% (310)
47.6% (351)
Away
54.6% (271)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Jankowski
Johnston
P1
54.6%
49.6%
P2
56.3%
47.3%
P3
51.9%
48.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |