Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.2%). Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs Johnston 51.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 53.0%
Defensive zone
Johnston 51.8%
Neutral zone
Johnston 51.9%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Jankowski
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jankowski
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Jankowski
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
52.6% (696)
-1.3%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
52.3% (88)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
42.4% (125)
+1.6%
On power play, Jankowski has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Jankowski shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Johnston
Home
46.8% (188)
52.8% (458)
Away
53.5% (245)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Jankowski
Johnston
P1
51.6%
48.9%
P2
49.3%
52.3%
P3
50.9%
51.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |