Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Johnston 44.8% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 67.2%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 62.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 54.3%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Jankowski
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jankowski
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Jankowski
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
42.5% (318)
+16.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
55.6% (9)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
62.5% (8)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Johnston
Home
54.7% (128)
40.5% (168)
Away
56.3% (215)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Jankowski
Johnston
P1
54.5%
46.9%
P2
56.5%
40.4%
P3
56.2%
41.9%
Final 5 min
52.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |