Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Scheifele 50.6% (+7.6%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 78.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 80.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 53.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Kastelic
Scheifele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
49.3% (649)
+7.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
55.7% (183)
+44.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
50.0% (16)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Kastelic is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Kastelic shoots right. Scheifele is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Scheifele
Home
54.8% (73)
52.3% (440)
Away
63.8% (47)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Kastelic
Scheifele
P1
50.0%
52.3%
P2
62.5%
50.4%
P3
60.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%