Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 65.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 80.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 90.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 67.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Kastelic
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kastelic
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
48.7% (981)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
53.2% (250)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
43.2% (37)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Kastelic is 65.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Kastelic shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Scheifele
Home
50.6% (162)
50.0% (672)
Away
57.4% (204)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Kastelic
Scheifele
P1
61.5%
51.4%
P2
52.8%
45.1%
P3
50.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |