Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 55.9% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 50.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 97.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 83.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Kastelic
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Kastelic
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
0
Kastelic
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (476)
47.8% (960)
+10.2%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
47.0% (219)
+28.0%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (106)
60.7% (28)
-9.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Kastelic is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Kastelic shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Scheifele
Home
64.9% (265)
50.7% (611)
Away
50.5% (325)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Kastelic
Scheifele
P1
58.5%
51.4%
P2
55.6%
47.3%
P3
56.8%
45.0%
Final 5 min
62.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |