Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs McLeod 56.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 58.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 69.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 58.3%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Kastelic
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kastelic
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Kastelic
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
58.3% (859)
-1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
50.0% (28)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
53.0% (168)
+47.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Kastelic is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Kastelic shoots right. McLeod is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Kastelic
McLeod
Home
54.8% (73)
55.3% (526)
Away
63.8% (47)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Kastelic
McLeod
P1
50.0%
60.7%
P2
62.5%
55.9%
P3
60.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |