Mark Kastelic vs Michael McLeod
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kastelic wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs McLeod 58.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kastelic 63.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 63.3%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 58.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Kastelic
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Kastelic
McLeod
Last 10: Kastelic 2-8 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Kastelic
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
1
Kastelic
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
3
Kastelic
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,613)
59.2% (2,894)
-2.2%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
57.4% (101)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (274)
53.5% (525)
+0.1%
On power play, Kastelic has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Kastelic is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Kastelic shoots right. McLeod is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,063).
Home / Away
Kastelic
McLeod
Home
58.9% (895)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
55.1% (1,017)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Kastelic
McLeod
P1
58.5%
58.7%
P2
56.9%
59.9%
P3
55.3%
56.3%
OT
53.8%
63.6%
Final 5 min
59.6%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 13:10 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |