Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs McLeod 63.0% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 78.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 67.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 72.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Kastelic
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Kastelic
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Kastelic
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Kastelic
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
64.8% (509)
-11.4%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
68.4% (19)
+31.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
65.3% (124)
+9.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Kastelic is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Kastelic shoots right. McLeod is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Kastelic
McLeod
Home
56.2% (162)
64.3% (308)
Away
52.9% (187)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Kastelic
McLeod
P1
58.2%
62.9%
P2
58.8%
64.8%
P3
45.4%
67.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 13:10 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |