Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Kupari 47.9% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 68.9%
Defensive zone
Kupari 63.8%
Neutral zone
Kupari 64.1%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Kastelic
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kastelic
Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Kastelic
Kupari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Kastelic
Kupari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
47.2% (144)
+6.2%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
45.5% (22)
+29.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Kastelic is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Kastelic shoots right. Kupari is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Kupari
Home
56.2% (162)
48.3% (87)
Away
52.9% (187)
45.0% (80)
By Period
Kastelic
Kupari
P1
58.2%
48.5%
P2
58.8%
41.3%
P3
45.4%
49.1%
Final 5 min
59.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |