Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kastelic wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Bennett 48.3% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 83.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 87.0%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.6%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Kastelic
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kastelic
Bennett
Last 9: Kastelic 4-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Kastelic
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Kastelic
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
1
Kastelic
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
46.4% (780)
+14.8%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
57.3% (150)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (141)
47.8% (46)
+8.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Kastelic shoots right. Bennett is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Bennett
Home
60.9% (233)
50.3% (519)
Away
59.1% (254)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Kastelic
Bennett
P1
58.6%
47.5%
P2
58.7%
46.6%
P3
63.1%
49.8%
OT
53.8%
70.0%
Final 5 min
67.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |