Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Bennett 45.9% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 63.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 60.4%
Neutral zone
Bennett 53.8%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Kastelic
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kastelic
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Kastelic
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
44.7% (772)
+8.7%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
56.9% (58)
+43.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
42.9% (28)
+32.1%
On power play, Kastelic has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Kastelic shoots right. Bennett is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Bennett
Home
56.2% (162)
48.5% (447)
Away
52.9% (187)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Kastelic
Bennett
P1
58.2%
47.1%
P2
58.8%
45.8%
P3
45.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |