Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Bennett 46.6% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 81.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 82.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 53.3%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Kastelic
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kastelic
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Kastelic
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
46.5% (909)
+8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
43.1% (51)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
38.5% (13)
-3.2%
On even strength, Kastelic has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kastelic shoots right. Bennett is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Bennett
Home
50.6% (162)
45.4% (449)
Away
57.4% (204)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Kastelic
Bennett
P1
61.5%
49.6%
P2
52.8%
43.7%
P3
50.0%
45.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |