Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kastelic wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs Bennett 47.2% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 70.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 90.7%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 67.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Kastelic
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Kastelic
Bennett
Last 10: Kastelic 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
3
Kastelic
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kastelic
Bennett
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
4
1
Kastelic
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,613)
46.8% (5,683)
+10.2%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
53.7% (555)
+26.3%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (274)
41.8% (256)
+11.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Kastelic shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,262).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Bennett
Home
58.9% (895)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
55.1% (1,017)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Kastelic
Bennett
P1
58.5%
48.0%
P2
56.9%
46.5%
P3
55.3%
46.9%
OT
53.8%
52.5%
Final 5 min
59.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |