Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Wright 50.3% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Wright 57.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 68.3%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 50.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Kastelic
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
52.6% (76)
+0.8%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
20.0% (5)
+80.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Kastelic is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Kastelic shoots right. Wright is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Wright
Home
56.2% (162)
58.5% (41)
Away
52.9% (187)
42.5% (40)
By Period
Kastelic
Wright
P1
58.2%
50.0%
P2
58.8%
46.2%
P3
45.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
50.6%