Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +20.2% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 68.3% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Wright 41.4% (+20.2%)
Offensive zone
Wright 79.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 84.7%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.7%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Kastelic
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
39.5% (453)
+21.7%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
42.4% (59)
+40.9%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (141)
0.0% (1)
+56.0%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Kastelic is 68.3% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Kastelic shoots right. Wright is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Wright
Home
60.9% (233)
39.5% (286)
Away
59.1% (254)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Kastelic
Wright
P1
58.6%
39.9%
P2
58.7%
37.1%
P3
63.1%
42.9%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
67.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%