Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Nosek 51.4% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 75.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 62.7%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 58.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Kastelic
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
53.0% (400)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
33.3% (12)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
45.5% (44)
-10.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kastelic shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Nosek
Home
50.6% (162)
49.6% (244)
Away
57.4% (204)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Kastelic
Nosek
P1
61.5%
53.1%
P2
52.8%
51.4%
P3
50.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
54.4%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
51.8%