Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Nosek 46.9% (+16.4%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 65.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 76.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 53.3%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Kastelic
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
48.5% (66)
+12.7%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
100.0% (1)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (141)
29.6% (27)
+26.4%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Kastelic shoots right. Nosek is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Nosek
Home
60.9% (233)
44.0% (25)
Away
59.1% (254)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Kastelic
Nosek
P1
58.6%
46.4%
P2
58.7%
34.2%
P3
63.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
67.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%