Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Scheifele 48.3% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 59.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 77.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 60.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Kastelic
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kastelic
Scheifele
Last 5: Kastelic 3-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Kastelic
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
0
Kastelic
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
48.1% (1,045)
+5.3%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
48.6% (181)
+51.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
44.4% (27)
+30.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Kastelic is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Kastelic shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Scheifele
Home
56.2% (162)
52.7% (630)
Away
52.9% (187)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Kastelic
Scheifele
P1
58.2%
50.3%
P2
58.8%
46.8%
P3
45.4%
47.5%
Final 5 min
59.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:58 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |