Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs McTavish 49.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 51.7%
Defensive zone
McTavish 63.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 61.4%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Scheifele
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Scheifele
McTavish
Last 6: Scheifele 5-1 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
0
Scheifele
McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Scheifele
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
47.6% (616)
-1.1%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
57.8% (102)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Scheifele
McTavish
Home
46.2% (571)
52.2% (389)
Away
47.7% (535)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Scheifele
McTavish
P1
51.9%
50.0%
P2
45.6%
47.9%
P3
43.9%
49.0%
OT
27.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |