Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs McTavish 50.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 66.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 58.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Scheifele
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Scheifele
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
4
Scheifele
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Scheifele
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
51.1% (769)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
50.6% (178)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
28.6% (14)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Scheifele
McTavish
Home
50.0% (672)
52.3% (461)
Away
48.8% (596)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Scheifele
McTavish
P1
51.4%
51.5%
P2
45.1%
54.0%
P3
51.9%
47.1%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |