Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs McTavish 51.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.1%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 51.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Scheifele
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Scheifele
McTavish
Last 7: Scheifele 3-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Scheifele
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Scheifele
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
51.3% (725)
-3.2%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
55.8% (113)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
28.6% (7)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Scheifele shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Scheifele
McTavish
Home
52.7% (630)
52.0% (454)
Away
43.5% (623)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Scheifele
McTavish
P1
50.3%
51.3%
P2
46.8%
50.4%
P3
47.5%
53.3%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |