Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs McTavish 43.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 71.2%
Defensive zone
McTavish 67.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Scheifele
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Scheifele
McTavish
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
3
Scheifele
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
42.4% (675)
+5.4%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
40.5% (42)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
50.0% (8)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Scheifele shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Scheifele
McTavish
Home
50.7% (611)
41.9% (372)
Away
45.1% (596)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Scheifele
McTavish
P1
51.4%
47.2%
P2
47.3%
36.2%
P3
45.0%
43.6%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |